Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.464205 6.171609e-01 0.792986 1.006995 1.257421 1.538320 1.874317
2025-04-20 0.255998 4.358648e-01 0.675003 1.001849 1.422984 1.934307 2.588807
2025-04-27 0.140060 3.162973e-01 0.589280 1.004966 1.586249 2.337549 3.348916
2025-05-04 0.066733 2.167049e-01 0.494035 0.965858 1.678448 2.651728 4.018654
2025-05-11 0.027758 1.457232e-01 0.413367 0.922737 1.749110 2.933818 4.658158
2025-05-18 0.011485 1.066286e-01 0.371450 0.927530 1.883713 3.306886 5.434392
2025-05-25 0.003026 7.130650e-02 0.317926 0.895819 1.951342 3.581996 6.083358
2025-06-01 0.000952 5.868025e-02 0.312151 0.951190 2.163459 4.079008 7.062611
2025-06-08 0.000072 4.223292e-02 0.284688 0.954631 2.284034 4.440083 7.856905
2025-06-15 0.000002 3.726482e-02 0.291285 1.031941 2.539199 5.018750 8.985049
2025-06-22 NaN 3.029567e-02 0.285500 1.078932 2.741207 5.520173 10.012015
2025-06-29 NaN 2.271054e-02 0.270219 1.099314 2.893567 5.946438 10.936875
2025-07-06 NaN 1.377764e-02 0.237019 1.068935 2.950376 6.227073 11.662624
2025-07-13 NaN 9.214651e-03 0.220801 1.079300 3.086786 6.643734 12.607613
2025-07-20 NaN 5.961407e-03 0.206406 1.090869 3.225344 7.068022 13.574265
2025-07-27 NaN 2.757233e-03 0.178566 1.053724 3.258932 7.314379 14.269971
2025-08-03 NaN 9.568231e-04 0.151855 1.010089 3.272512 7.524254 14.911302
2025-08-10 NaN 3.870692e-04 0.140816 1.016313 3.393955 7.924979 15.862198
2025-08-17 NaN 5.161431e-05 0.121140 0.983123 3.422974 8.161654 16.554908
2025-08-24 NaN 2.467176e-05 0.124565 1.042401 3.667906 8.791520 17.891596
2025-08-31 NaN 3.282562e-07 0.115290 1.046228 3.783121 9.189805 18.860299
2025-09-07 NaN 1.715614e-07 0.123651 1.128557 4.088566 9.940962 20.413728
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.124687 1.178537 4.318835 10.559453 21.759492